Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.193667 0.231031 0.273003 0.323545 0.382654 0.449491 0.530688
2025-03-16 0.132192 0.177971 0.235248 0.311769 0.410865 0.534358 0.699347
2025-03-23 0.105169 0.154894 0.222246 0.319278 0.454451 0.634877 0.892475
2025-03-30 0.086918 0.138016 0.211947 0.325279 0.492831 0.729203 1.085060
2025-04-06 0.071393 0.121294 0.197875 0.321906 0.515092 0.801075 1.251799
2025-04-13 0.059773 0.108028 0.186158 0.319132 0.536141 0.871425 1.421642
2025-04-20 0.053092 0.101431 0.183534 0.329552 0.577843 0.976078 1.652983
2025-04-27 0.050819 0.101940 0.192477 0.359768 0.654506 1.142663 1.997708
2025-05-04 0.046286 0.097461 0.191923 0.373156 0.703736 1.268638 2.287322
2025-05-11 0.039914 0.088306 0.181468 0.367127 0.717792 1.336016 2.483593
2025-05-18 0.033548 0.078000 0.167245 0.351937 0.712988 1.369342 2.622679
2025-05-25 0.028082 0.068569 0.153275 0.335151 0.702778 1.391179 2.742004
2025-06-01 0.025869 0.066066 0.153390 0.347263 0.751144 1.527838 3.089536
2025-06-08 0.021850 0.058685 0.142143 0.334443 0.748629 1.568811 3.262606
2025-06-15 0.019966 0.056034 0.140788 0.342439 0.789384 1.696873 3.614107
2025-06-22 0.018199 0.053327 0.138868 0.348842 0.827320 1.822577 3.971733
2025-06-29 0.016056 0.049202 0.132953 0.345242 0.842945 1.904022 4.246868
2025-07-06 0.014231 0.045568 0.127646 0.342282 0.859490 1.988596 4.535402
2025-07-13 0.013310 0.044311 0.128128 0.353401 0.909436 2.148655 4.996153
2025-07-20 0.013397 0.046047 0.136643 0.385633 1.012306 2.432499 5.745039
2025-07-27 0.012676 0.045182 0.138077 0.399911 1.073552 2.629142 6.318880
2025-08-03 0.011233 0.041746 0.131920 0.393482 1.083362 2.710568 6.643692
2025-08-10 0.009639 0.037449 0.122623 0.377281 1.066759 2.729553 6.828771